UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 — Full Card Predictions, Odds & Picks
The biggest event of the summer is here. UFC 329 takes over T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday night, headlined by the long-awaited return of Conor McGregor as he faces Max Holloway in a welterweight rematch 13 years in the making. The main card kicks off at 9 PM ET on Paramount+ pay-per-view.
Main Event: Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway 2
It's been five years since Conor McGregor last stepped into the Octagon. Five years since his trilogy loss to Dustin Poirier ended with a broken leg. At 37 years old, McGregor returns to face the man he defeated at featherweight in 2013 — Max Holloway, who has evolved into one of the greatest fighters in UFC history.
Odds: Holloway -225, McGregor +185
Weight Class: Welterweight (170 lbs)
Holloway enters as a clear favorite, and for good reason. At 34, he's still in his prime with recent wins over Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje. His high-volume striking, relentless pace, and iron chin present a nightmare matchup for a McGregor who hasn't fought in half a decade.
McGregor's path to victory is the early knockout. He still carries devastating power in his left hand, and if he can catch Holloway in the first round, anything can happen. But the longer this fight goes, the more it favors Holloway. McGregor's cardio has always been a question, and five years of ring rust compounds that concern.
Expert Consensus: 4 of 5 CBS Sports analysts pick Holloway. The prediction leans Holloway by TKO or unanimous decision.
The Pick: Max Holloway by TKO, Round 3 (+450)
Co-Main: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoit Saint Denis
This lightweight banger could steal the show. Paddy Pimblett is coming off an interim lightweight title loss to Justin Gaethje in January, while Benoit Saint Denis enters on a four-fight winning streak and has looked unstoppable.
Odds: Saint Denis -148, Pimblett +130
The Pick: Paddy Pimblett by submission, Round 3. The Baddy bounces back in a Fight of the Night candidate.
Main Card Breakdown
Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweights)
Sandhagen is a divisional stalwart looking to turn away a rising contender. Four of five CBS analysts pick Sandhagen. Pick: Sandhagen by unanimous decision.
Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Brandon Royval (Flyweights)
Kavanagh enters as a -218 favorite against the veteran Royval. Four of five analysts back the newcomer. Pick: Kavanagh by unanimous decision.
Terrance McKinney vs. King Green (Lightweights)
Two lightweight brawlers with finish potential. McKinney's submission threat vs. Green's striking. This one's a toss-up. Pick: McKinney by submission, Round 2.
Preliminary Card Highlights
Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweights) — A former middleweight champion moving up. Whittaker at -125 is tempting.
Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweights) — Olympic gold medalist Steveson is a -1800 favorite in his UFC debut. Don't blink.
Adrian Yanez vs. Cody Garbrandt (Bantamweights) — A former champion vs. a rising contender. Garbrandt at +330 is an interesting underdog play.
Event Details
Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
When: Saturday, July 11, 2026 — Main card at 9 PM ET
How to Watch: Paramount+ PPV (prelims on ESPN/ESPN+)
Full Card: 14 fights
BET OF THE NIGHT: Holloway by TKO (+450) — McGregor will come out swinging, but Holloway's pressure and volume break him down in the middle rounds. The value play is Holloway inside the distance.
Ethan Brooks
Ethan Brooks covers sports betting and analysis with a focus on form, matchups, team trends, and the factors that shape competitive events.